Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei delivered a stark warning to President Masoud Pezeshkian. Any next resignation attempt will be accepted. The message, reported through social media channels by Iran International, signals a dramatic shift in the power dynamics between Tehran's top leadership and the sitting president.
Pezeshkian's position has grown increasingly fragile. Prediction markets now price the likelihood of his departure before the year ends at 16 percent, with YES shares trading at that level. This reflects growing conviction among traders that the president's tenure could unravel far sooner than expected.
The warning comes amid long-running speculation about Pezeshkian's attempts to step down. The presidential office has repeatedly denied these reports, yet the rumors persist across Iranian political circles. Tensions with hardline factions and the powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps have fueled much of this speculation. Khamenei's latest statement appears to confirm what insiders have whispered for months, removing any ambiguity about the Supreme Leader's patience with the president.
Political observers see this as a critical juncture. Markets don't typically move on rhetoric alone, yet traders are treating this warning as substantive enough to adjust their positions. The 16 percent probability reflects a meaningful but not overwhelming chance of upheaval, suggesting most players still expect Pezeshkian to survive until year-end. That said, the trend is unmistakably toward increased instability.
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or a prediction of future political events.
